Bullish & Foolish
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Is Tvardi Therapeutics going out of business?

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Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (TVRD) Fundamentals

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Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (TVRD) scores 18 out of 100 on fundamentals, Distressed / Caution, based on SEC filing data.

Quality score 18/100
Rating Distressed / Caution
Sector Biotech/Pharma
Market cap $25.5M
Last close $1.91
Revenue growth (YoY) -100.0%
Dividend yield 0.0%

Leading signal: Shares dilution YoY: 72.87% (YoY)

Five questions, kept separate

Survival - Critical
3-5 mo of estimated runway from 2026-06-30, based on $15.8M of cash and short-term investments against $44.4M of annual burn. A disclosed filing event caps this reading; Event Risk carries the detail.
Business quality - Pre-commercial
Operating margins cannot grade a pipeline; Survival and clinical evidence remain the relevant lenses here.
Trajectory - Clinical progress unavailable
Fundamentals can show funding and burn, but not whether the clinical pipeline is advancing.
Valuation - Reasonable
121.9% net-cash backing support a reasonable pre-commercial Valuation assessment.
Event risk - Critical event risk
Going-Concern Warning is the decisive filing event; one adverse event family is active. It appears across 3 scanned filings. Favorable events are shown separately and do not offset adverse risk.

What the rules read

  • Shares dilution YoY: 72.87% (YoY)
  • Debt / Equity: -1.86x (Net Cash)
  • Filing event risk: Going-Concern Warning (-8 pts)
  • Revenue CAGR (3Y): -100.00%
  • Return on Assets: -103.98%
  • Price / Earnings: Unprofitable (see Valuation)

Read from filings through 2026-08-14.

Price as of 2026-09-07.

Headline score detail

Source coverage and limitations
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