Bullish & Foolish
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Is Arcadia Biosciences going out of business?

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Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. (RKDA) Fundamentals

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Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. (RKDA) scores 12 out of 100 on fundamentals, Distressed / Caution, based on SEC filing data.

Quality score 12/100
Rating Distressed / Caution
Sector Energy/Materials
Market cap $1.0M
Last close $0.43
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.6%
FCF margin (TTM) -233.8%
Dividend yield 0.0%

Leading signal: Shares dilution YoY: 85.89% (YoY) - Heavy dilution suggests continuous equity raises; survival depends on external capital.

Five questions, kept separate

Survival - Critical
3-6 mo of estimated runway from 2026-06-30, based on $4.2M of cash and short-term investments against $11.1M of annual burn. Adjusted shares outstanding increased 85.9% over the comparison year.
Business quality - Poor
-80.2% operating margin and -233.8% FCF margin produce a poor Business Quality assessment.
Trajectory - Deteriorating
Revenue weakened 7.6%; operating margin weakened 30.8pp; FCF margin improved 199.1pp. The TTM window includes a mixed-basis Q4 estimate.
Valuation - Extreme expectations
-928.5% normalized FCF yield supports an extreme expectations Valuation assessment on the ttm basis.
Event risk - Critical event risk
Going-Concern Warning is the decisive filing event; one adverse event family is active. It appears across 3 scanned filings. Favorable events are shown separately and do not offset adverse risk.

What the rules read

  • Shares dilution YoY: 85.89% (YoY) - Heavy dilution suggests continuous equity raises; survival depends on external capital.
  • ROE quality: -1910.74%
  • Filing event risk: Going-Concern Warning (-8 pts)
  • Asset Efficiency: 0.81x
  • Revenue CAGR (3Y): -13.16%
  • Revenue growth YoY: -0.82% (Industrial YoY)
  • Net Debt / FCF: 0.0y
  • Return on Assets: -205.24%
  • Price / Sales: 0.2x (see Valuation)
  • Price / Earnings: Unprofitable (see Valuation)
  • FCF margin: -233.78%
  • Cash Burn Deceleration: 1.64% QoQ improvement

Read from filings through 2026-08-13.

Price as of 2026-09-12.

Headline score detail

Source coverage and limitations
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