Bullish & Foolish
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Is Empire Petroleum going out of business?

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EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP (EP) Fundamentals

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EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP (EP) scores 14 out of 100 on fundamentals, Distressed / Caution, based on SEC filing data.

Quality score 14/100
Rating Distressed / Caution
Sector Energy/Materials
Market cap $104.6M
Last close $2.52
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.6%
FCF margin (TTM) -11.7%
Dividend yield 0.0%

Leading signal: ROE quality: -985.16%

Five questions, kept separate

Survival - Fragile
7-11 mo of estimated runway from 2026-06-30, based on $3.1M of cash and short-term investments against $4.0M of annual burn. A disclosed filing event caps this reading; Event Risk carries the detail.
Business quality - Poor
-208.5% operating margin and -11.7% FCF margin produce a poor Business Quality assessment.
Trajectory - Contracting
Revenue weakened 20.8%; operating margin weakened 182.7pp; FCF margin weakened 43.8pp. The TTM window includes a mixed-basis Q4 estimate.
Valuation - Extreme expectations
-3.8% normalized FCF yield supports an extreme expectations Valuation assessment on the annual basis.
Event risk - Critical event risk
Going-Concern Warning is the decisive filing event; one adverse event family is active. It appears across 2 scanned filings. Favorable events are shown separately and do not offset adverse risk.

What the rules read

  • Debt / Equity: 0.57x
  • ROE quality: -985.16%
  • ROIC: -2555.64%
  • Filing event risk: Going-Concern Warning (-8 pts)
  • Shares dilution YoY: 14.23% (YoY)
  • Revenue CAGR (3Y): -13.52%
  • Return on Assets: -88.90%
  • Asset Efficiency: 0.42x
  • Capex intensity: 1.14%
  • Debt Maturity Runway: 0% long-term (Near-term refinancing risk)
  • Cash Burn Deceleration: -109.23% QoQ improvement (Worsening)
  • Revenue growth YoY: 8.58% (Industrial YoY)

Read from filings through 2026-08-17.

Price as of 2026-09-11.

Headline score detail

Source coverage and limitations
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