Bullish & Foolish
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Is Aqua Metals going out of business?

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Reading the filings

Aqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS) Fundamentals

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Aqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS) scores 12 out of 100 on fundamentals, Distressed / Caution, based on SEC filing data.

Quality score 12/100
Rating Distressed / Caution
Sector Energy/Materials
Market cap $8.2M
Last close $2.31
Revenue growth (YoY) -100.0%
Dividend yield 0.0%

Leading signal: Shares dilution YoY: 286.32% (YoY) - Heavy dilution suggests continuous equity raises; survival depends on external capital.

Five questions, kept separate

Survival - Critical
4-7 mo of estimated runway from 2026-06-30, based on $4.7M of cash and short-term investments against $10.7M of annual burn. A disclosed filing event caps this reading; Event Risk carries the detail.
Business quality - Evidence incomplete
Only 35% of the Business Quality model is covered; the partial component result is not a company-level verdict.
Trajectory - Evidence incomplete
Comparable evidence covers 0% of this trajectory model. No comparable revenue evidence.
Valuation - Extreme expectations
-129.7% normalized FCF yield supports an extreme expectations Valuation assessment on the annual basis.
Event risk - Critical event risk
Going-Concern Warning is the decisive filing event; one adverse event family is active. It appears across 3 scanned filings. Favorable events are shown separately and do not offset adverse risk.

What the rules read

  • Shares dilution YoY: 286.32% (YoY) - Heavy dilution suggests continuous equity raises; survival depends on external capital.
  • Debt / Equity: -0.45x (Net Cash)
  • ROE quality: -237.63%
  • ROIC: -387.08%
  • Filing event risk: Going-Concern Warning (-8 pts)
  • Revenue CAGR (3Y): -100.00%
  • Net Debt / FCF: 0.0y
  • Return on Assets: -179.42%
  • Price / Earnings: Unprofitable (see Valuation)
  • Effective Tax Rate: 0.00% (loss-making)

Read from filings through 2026-08-21.

Price as of 2026-09-11.

Headline score detail

Source coverage and limitations
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