Bullish & Foolish
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Is Aemetis going out of business?

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AEMETIS, INC (AMTX) Fundamentals

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AEMETIS, INC (AMTX) scores 21 out of 100 on fundamentals, Distressed / Caution, based on SEC filing data.

Quality score 21/100
Rating Distressed / Caution
Sector Industrial/Cyclical
Market cap $146.5M
Last close $2.03
Revenue growth (YoY) -26.2%
FCF margin (TTM) -11.5%
Dividend yield 0.0%

Leading signal: Shares dilution YoY: 24.86% (YoY)

Five questions, kept separate

Survival - Critical
Under 1 mo of estimated runway from 2026-06-30, based on $973K of cash and short-term investments against $22.7M of annual burn. Adjusted shares outstanding increased 24.9% over the comparison year.
Business quality - Poor
-18.8% operating margin and -11.5% FCF margin produce a poor Business Quality assessment.
Trajectory - Mixed
Revenue weakened 1.7%; operating margin improved 14.2pp; FCF margin weakened 5.2pp. The TTM window includes a mixed-basis Q4 estimate.
Valuation - Extreme expectations
-15.6% normalized FCF yield supports an extreme expectations Valuation assessment on the annual basis.
Event risk - Critical event risk
Going-Concern Warning is the decisive filing event; one adverse event family is active. It appears across 2 scanned filings. Favorable events are shown separately and do not offset adverse risk.

What the rules read

  • Shares dilution YoY: 24.86% (YoY)
  • Debt / Equity: Negative equity (balance sheet deficit; monitor solvency)
  • Interest coverage: -0.2x
  • Filing event risk: Going-Concern Warning (-8 pts)
  • Gross margin (industrial): -0.39%
  • FCF margin: -11.51%
  • Asset Efficiency: 0.68x
  • Net income trend: 59.96% (Loss narrowing)
  • Revenue CAGR (3Y): 91.57%
  • Operating leverage: 4846.1%
  • Revenue growth YoY: 20.02% (Industrial YoY) - Growth from a low base; sustainability uncertain.
  • ROE quality: 23.91%

Read from filings through 2026-08-06.

Price as of 2026-09-11.

Headline score detail

Source coverage and limitations
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